Tuesday, June 2, 2015

NFC West Analysis: Teams Analysis

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NFC West Analysis: Teams Analysis

In this post we take a team approach to our analysis. I start with NFC WEST. In TEAMs Table 1,  the side items are listed in order of the average of the team's skill players Insiders Rankings (AVG I SR), the team's skill player Outsiders Rankings (AVG O SR), the teams players average difference between the I and O worlds, (I/O SR), The highest I SR scoring position (TOP), the worst scoring position, (BOTTOM), and the % number of skill players that have a positive I to O ratio using the I/O Diff number (DIFF Positives)

So in as you go down the side item metrics, get a sense of each team and their comparison to the other teams in the conference.

SEA has 2 negative players over rated by the joes and 4 ranked higher by the pros. Lynch is top ranked player as the RB and the bottomed feeder is a WR. As with all the 4 teams the I/O Avg Diff number is positive implying as a group these player are higher ranked by the I vs the O 67%. Note Lynch is dead on between the I and O worlds

SF has only one negative player and have the highest NFC West team avg in the I SR with a 14.7. More bargains? The Top player is an RB and weakest is the TE. Given the highest I SR rating I would cherry pick the bargain players QB and WR. The TE is a 'bargain" but is ranked at a -35 so yes it better than the public at a -63, its still a -35! You cannot be a slave to numbers, common sense is required.

ARI has only one negative player and as group are ranked higher by the Insiders than Outsider. The top player is a RB and lowest ranked is the TE position. Mirrors SF here. D. Johnson is the bargain RB, and John Brown has a good I/O diff but is still ranked 3rd in these WR so its a late round grab then. L. Fitz is the pick up here as m Floyd is overbought by the Outsider. You can wait on him.

STL has 2 negative players and as group is ranked higher by the I vs O but still at a -24 so be care in your bargains here as they may have a sour taste by the end of the season.  The top player is an RB and the bottom is an RB. So that seem to continue the worry here. The silver lining is the TE with J Cook seems to be the real-time pick up but but he is still a -34 so turn down the fire some. B Cunningham could be a flyer but the theme is caution from this TEAM as the -24 over I SR is a big concern.

Table 1 NFC WEST Team Metrics.

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Table 2 is the colorized "positional 3D heat-map" for position, ranking and colorized visualization.

The ARI 3D map shows D. Johnson as a bargain and the WR3 is M Floyd who is overbought by the public.

In SEA case you can "see"M Lynch there as dead on by both I and O groups and note the negative for Jimmy Graham. He is a solid choice but this implies he is overbought by the public.

In SF we see an group together int he average zone. So that can be good as picks that could be bargains except for V. Davis. S

Finally in STL we see J Cook and B Cunningham as the standouts in a shaky group. Note T Mason is way overbought by the public. Foles is a little overbought as well.

Another conference is up in the next post. Thanks for reading please comment if you need to.

Table 2. 3D MAP-Map of the Teams
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