Thursday, July 23, 2015

Graphical Analysis_What Rounds can you find your Sleepers, Anti-Sleepers and About Rights Players? Interesting Data!

Graphical Analysis_What Rounds can you find your Sleepers, Anti-Sleepers and About Rights Players?  Interesting Data!

If you are a regular reader it is clear we spare you excessive text! Over sites/blogs love to "flap on". We let our graph talk!

Our graph below is a new type for us. We plotted the ADP vs Pros opinions via the draft rounds. Yellow is the public and Pink are the Pros opinions. So we see that in the end of the draft the opinions diverge.

So if you need really dig into those players are the end about round 13 or so. We have our list of sleepers in other post! Use those! Why are the late players being touted? If you have the time dig at the back in not front. Spending time debating Pick1 vs Pick 2 is not as productive as Pick 13 and 14 etc.

Note in Round 1 and 2 everyone is on the same page via averages! Some Anti-sleepers working in rounds 6 and 7. Have Fun with this thinking device!

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Below are our series of graphs that map out the rounds, sleepers, anti-sleepers and about right players.

We present an overview graph of all 16 rounds! Call it a top view of the average draft!

* See round 7 has few about rights and alot of anti-sleepers! Beware!

Late rounds are all sleepers because at that point the Pros will not rank the duds while the public does not see the difference!
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We focus down into each 2 rounds segment! We have written too much! less anchoring (system 1) and more thinking with your system 2 brain.  See the resource below.

FYI____ I will be doing this book as it applies to Fantasy football down the road!,_Fast_and_Slow

Beginning Quote
Thinking, Fast and Slow is a best-selling 2011 book by Nobel Memorial Prize in Economics winner Daniel Kahneman which summarizes research that he conducted over decades, often in collaboration with Amos Tversky. It covers all three phases of his career: his early days working on cognitive biases, his work on prospect theory, and his later work on happiness.
The book's central thesis is a dichotomy between two modes of thought: "System 1" is fast, instinctive and emotional; "System 2" is slower, more deliberative, and more logical. The book delineates cognitive biases associated with each type of thinking, starting with Kahneman's own research on loss aversion. From framing choices to people's tendency to substitute an easy-to-answer question for one that is harder, the book highlights several decades of academic research to suggest that people place too much confidence in human judgment. End Quote

Let your system 2 glide over this data. :) 

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