Tuesday, August 4, 2015

Risk Assessment of QBs, TEs and DST Updated Early August

Risk Assessment of QBs, TEs and DST Updated Early August

We now have to turn to looking at Risk! We believe Risk can be a good tie breaker in your drafts!.

Table 1 show the scaled risk assessment of the players we have ranked.

Risk

Likely means 70% or more chance that the predicted performance of the drafted player will not be as good as the ADP or draft position.  Whether the difference is significant is not so clear. Its a bet  7 out of 10 players will produce worst.

Probable means 30 to 70% chance of a worse production vs their ADP etc.

Unlikely is the safest group. Less than 30% of a bad outcome.

Remember our data from 2014 looking at the ADP vs end of season production. If you missed that go find. Neat data and it applies to risk here. RBs are riskier than others.
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Tables below list the DST, QB and TEs. 


We are not reading the data for you. Enjoy!

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