Risk Assessment of RBs Updated Early August

Risk Assessment of RBs Updated Early August


We now have to turn to looking at Risk! We believe Risk can be a good tie breaker in your drafts!.

Table 1 shows the scaled risk assessment of the players we have ranked.

 Risk

Likely means 70% or more chance that the predicted performance of the drafted player will not be as good as the ADP or draft position. Whether the difference is significant is not so clear. Its a bet 7 out of 10 players will produce worst.

Probable means 30 to 70% chance of a worse production vs their ADP etc.

 Unlikely is the safest group. Less than 30% of a bad outcome. Remember our data from 2014 looking at the ADP vs end of season production. If you missed that go find. Neat data and it applies to risk here. RBs are riskier than others.

 photo Slide1_zpsc36dm1gj.jpg

Tables below list the RBs. 


We are not reading the data for you. Enjoy!

 photo Slide4_zpshwbl4k3y.jpg

 photo Slide5_zpskwa4o9l3.jpg

Popular posts from this blog

Running Backs and their 2016 Passing Targets and Rushing Attempts. Scaled Numbers with Rushing to Pass Ratios, Bias Analysis

Early MFL10s 2017 ADPs with rankings and risk analysis.

Post Draft MFL 10 ADPs_Player Risk and Ranks_Draft Pick Advantages_Numerous Action Packed Data Figures!