Fantasy Football Analysis 2017
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FSP Week 1 to 7 Performance Player Index to the Average. Color Coded. The Longer View
FSP Week 1 to 7 Performance Player Index. Color Coded. The Longer View
Given the overreaction and recency bias, its important to scale up and look top-down and across the weeks.
Our Performance INDEX measures a Player's Scaled Effort (PSE).
Blue is good, Red is not good, unstained is average PSE.
Pay attention to the "giraffes" A player who only has one week of a Blue PSE! Ask why did they "pop-up" above the average? When will that happen again? - Injuries, Match-up etc.
Use this data to predict their pop-up PSE ! Save your FAAB money unless its go-time for them!
Working my Chapter X1 Data in my Textbook on Drafting. Shooting for the 2017 First Edition in May on Amazon. Drafting Textbook Data Figures.
In these tables, I looked at the Running Backs and their 2016 Passing Targets and Rushing Attempts.
I calculated a Scaled Scoring System for 0 to 100 and assigned the players their numbers of Rushing vs Passing.
I also calculated a Rushing to Passing Ratio Stat and assigned each player an R/P number
Finally, all of the 2016 active Running Backs were sorted by their R/P number and their biases determined.
Passing Biased - RBs that had a Passing Score higher than their Rushing Score.
Rushing Biased - RBs that had a Rushing Score Higher than their Passing Score
Balanced - RBs whose 2 Scores were close to each other.
These data tables will give a look at the current MFL10 ADP and Risk .
I wrote about using my MFL 10 data in a post last year.
See this link MFL Data Past Post Read Me
The Next 6 Charts show QB, RB, TE and WR Data from the current MFL10 ADPs see Pos Num = ADP of the Player within their position ADP Num = ADP within all 150 Players looked at Player, Team, and Position. Scaled Public Ranking from 100 to 0 (Best - Green and Worst -Red) Very Early Risk Number (My Risk Analysis from 0 no Risk to 100 Highest Risk). I try to incorporate, elements for the player and team. I will fold in SOS and injury history data later
A landscape view of the current MFL10 ADPs by position. Red circle marks the end of the 12th TE or QBRed Arrows mark the RBs rounds of 12Yellow Arrows mark the WR rounds of 12The first 12 TEs are off the board on average in round 10 The first 12 QBs are drafted on average by round 10 as well.The first 12 RBs at round 3, next 12 at round 6 and next 12 RBs by round 9.The f…
I have updated the MFL10 ADPs from data after the draft as well. I urge you to question all data points to understand the why. This is the wisdom of the crowds as it is based on MFL10 ADPs but it is a starting point for your investigations.
These next figures present each position, the FPR (Fantasy Professors ADP Ranking) and my risk number Early Risk. Red color not good while green is good!
Example question. In the QBs the 3rd QB Brady has a high risk number relative to his draft neighbors. Why? What is the public as a group telling us?
Next up is 2 figures that I use to see the entire draft. I use landscape level visual aids to make moves etc before the crowd. Questions such as when do I need to draft a TE or QB if I do not wish to have a player positional ranked at 13th or worse. So in TEs you can wait to at least round 8 to 9. QB2s start at round 10 as well! So in you draft plan going into a MFL10, plan for TEs and QBs in rounds 7 to 9 etc.