Sunday, May 29, 2016

Current PPR Based Draft_A Colorized TEAM View of the Public Landscape. Best vs Worst Case with our assigned Risk analysis PART3

Current PPR Based Draft_A Colorized TEAM View of the Public Landscape. Best vs Worst Case with our assigned Risk analysis PART3


This is part 3 of 3 in this series


I have taken the data on grouped by the player's team. I have highlight the highest ranked player on the Team in green and lower ones in red. Middle ground players are not colorized. 


This view allows a vision of the team and who is going to be around each player. Who can get the targets or carriers. Its an early preseason view only. Use to define your opinions. 

I hope you have enjoyed this series. 















===============================================================

My Textbook for Winning Fantasy Football 

Drafting is now for Sale on Kindle. 


https://www.amazon.com/author/john_bush


$$$$ Read and Plan Now 


Crush your Drafts Later!$$$

Saturday, May 28, 2016

Current PPR Based Draft_A Colorized Graphical View of the Public Landscape. Best vs Worst Case with our assigned Risk analysis PART2

Current PPR Based Draft_A Colorized Graphical View of the Public Landscape. Best vs Worst Case with our assigned Risk analysis PART2

(Part 1 Friday a tabular view)

(Part 2- Today a graphical view)

(Part 3 - Sunday 10am ish - Team view of this data)


Given the biases we as Fantasy Football Players have to fight against, I like to use a Best vs Worst Case Look at what the public is thinking.

I am using a colorized graphical view to see the scale of the players rankings. Blue is the worst case and orange is the best case. Since these are stacked graphs the blue stacks on the orange and the true number for the worst case is the height of the entire Bar symbol. The orange is the best case and represents the entire ranking. 

So Can Newton in Worst case and all other in best case would go for 1st to 9th QB

QB Graph 

Look at Elliot. Very interesting. I believe you must develop a firmer idea about him before your draft.


RB Graph 1

RB Graph 2

Gronk dominates the field as you would predict


TE Graph

WR Graph 1


WR Graph 2



===============================================================

My Textbook for Winning Fantasy Football 

Drafting is now for Sale on Kindle. 


https://www.amazon.com/author/john_bush


$$$$ Read and Plan Now 


Crush your Drafts Later!$$$

Friday, May 27, 2016

Current PPR Based Draft_A Tabular View of the Public Landscape. Best vs Worst Case with our assigned Risk analysis PART1

Current PPR Based Draft_A Tabular View of the Public Landscape. 

Best vs Worst Case with our assigned Risk analysis

(Part 1 Today a tabular view)

(Part 2- Tomorrow a graphical view 10am SAT)

(Part 3 - Sunday- Team view of this data)


Given the biases we as Fantasy Football Players have to fight against, I like to use a Best vs Worst Case Look at what the public is thinking. I also like to give a risk score to each player. 

1) Risk scores are from high risk in red to lower perceived risk in green. 

2) Best/Worst Cases are the current rankings gathered from public ADP sources as expressed as a number. Low numbers are the higher rankings and in green while higher numbers are lower ranked players and are in red.  

3) I present Part 1 today using the table view and grouping by positions and sorted from highly ranked players.

I would soft focus on the data and think about your opinions as you stroll through the tables. I might print these tables out and mark where you find agreement and your disagreement. Note the risk. So in the QB table,  note that Brady has the highest risk of the Top 5 QBs while Wilson has the lowest. 

Use the highs and lows to "see" a clear picture.

These numbers lend themselves to tiers if you wish to use that grouping approach. 

Example in the QBs Cam Newton is seen by the public as the Number 1 QB best and Number 9 in worst. The public is sold on him if you are not then it can be an opportunity for the other QBs. 



The story here is Elliot. He is seen as a risk vs all other RBs in the top 20. He could be the 8th best RB or the 23th best RB. So a judgement on him is a critical one. 







===============================================================

My Textbook for Winning Fantasy Football 

Drafting is now for Sale on Kindle. 


https://www.amazon.com/author/john_bush


$$$$ Read and Plan Now 


Crush your Drafts Later!$$$

Wednesday, May 25, 2016

Positional Draft Analysis of MFLs ADPs vs PPR based Non-MFL PPRs leagues.

Positional Draft Analysis of MFLs ADPs vs PPR based Non-MFL PPR

These two graphs show the top 200 draft picks positional landscapes in PPR MFL ADP vs Non-MFL PPR ADP. The blue circles highlight areas of interest.




These Graphs show the first 3 rounds and round 4 to 6s in MFL vs Non-MFL PPR ADP






These Color Coded Positional Drafting by Team and Position. Green Squares are picked players. I look across between the MFl and Non-MFL. The MFLs are biased to the WR while the Non-MFL are therefor picking RBs and QBs early! Interestingly the teams show different levels of this bias. BAL WRs is one draft pick different between the MFl vs Non-MFL type of leagues.  TB is three picks different. I would have 2 game plans in MFLs vs non-MFL!

Good Luck!












Wednesday, May 18, 2016

Updated Rookie Rankings with Risk Analysis, Team vs Positions, and Rookie Ranking Risk Ratios


 Updated Rookie Rankings with Risk Analysis
Team vs Positions

and 

Rookie Ranking Risk Ratios

==================================

Team and Positional 
Avg Rookie Drafted Rankings






Player Rankings with Colorized Risk Analysis





We use a stat  RRRR that combines Player Ranks with a Risk value acknowledgement. 







===============================================================

My Textbook for Winning Fantasy Football 

Drafting is now for Sale on Kindle. 


https://www.amazon.com/author/john_bush


$$$$ Read and Plan Now 


Crush your Drafts Later!$$$

Saturday, May 14, 2016

Updated Post Draft Dynasty Rankings with Colorized Scaled Rankings and Positional Risk Values.

Updated Post Draft Dynasty Rankings 

with 

Colorized Scaled Rankings 

and 

Positional Risk Values.  


Team Averages of Players Rankings and Risk


Advertising Break!


====================================

My Textbook for Winning Fantasy Football 

Drafting is now for Sale on Kindle. 


https://www.amazon.com/author/john_bush

 

$$$$    


Read and Plan Now 


Crush your Drafts Later!  


$$$


+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++


Positional Averages of Players Rankings and Risk by Teams





Player Rankings and Risk Analysis by Teams and Positions







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