Showing posts from March, 2017

Current PPR ADP and Risk Analysis. Team, Position and Player Landscapes

I am deep into research for my textbook on drafting. I needed a break so I whipped this out this afternoon.

I use my early season visuals not to be anchored into thoughts. I use these data aids to inspire questions, comparisons and more research. 

As you go into this post, write down questions and think about the answers. 

I first present a drafting landscape of positions, positional runs, and patterns. 

Why these patterns? What is the public thinking. 

We in some sense are all fighting against the wisdom of the crowd. The ADP is the public and it must be respected. We need to be ahead and know when to go against the popular ideas. 

The order of the positions is RBs, TEs, WRs and QBs. The first 4 picks are 3 RBs and 1 WR. and then we see a run of 6 WRs. 

The first QB drafted at pick 20 and first TE at the 24 pick. 

By end of round 4 the first 24 WRs are gone while only 16 RBs are gone. WRs are still leading the charge. 

These next tables highlight the position, the players rank, risk and scale…

Early MFL10s 2017 ADPs with rankings and risk analysis.

These data tables will give a look at the current MFL10 ADP and Risk .    I wrote about using my MFL 10 data in a post last year.       See this link MFL Data Past Post Read Me
The Next 6 Charts show QB, RB, TE and WR Data from the current MFL10 ADPs see 
Pos Num = ADP of the Player within their position
ADP Num = ADP within all 150 Players looked at
Player, Team, and Position. 
Scaled Public Ranking from 100 to 0 (Best - Green and Worst -Red)
Very Early Risk Number (My Risk Analysis from 0 no Risk to 100 Highest Risk). I try to incorporate, elements for the player and team. I will fold in SOS and injury history data later

A landscape view of the current MFL10 ADPs by position. 
Red circle marks the end of the 12th TE or QBRed Arrows mark the RBs rounds of 12Yellow Arrows mark the WR rounds of 12The first 12 TEs are off the board on average in round 10 The first 12 QBs are drafted on average by round 10 as well.The first 12 RBs at round 3, next 12 at round 6 and next 12 RBs by round 9.The f…