Thursday, May 25, 2017

New Method Invented. Convert Current Public PPR League Based ADP to Seasonal Projected Points.

We have worked hard to think outside the box.

We had a question could the Public's ADP ranking be used to generate Seasonal PPR Projections of Points?

If this could be done then the public's ADP opinions could be converted to PPR points. That would lead to Team Views, Positional Views as well as predicted percentages of team positional usages.

This allows us to "see" the current thinking and allow us to visualize the predictions that seem to be right on target and those that do not. Sleepers vs Anti-Sleepers?

We used multiple years data to develop mathematical models to use ADP to predict PPR PTS.

Use our data tables to inspire thinking for your 2017 drafts.

Positional Views








Team Views with PPR Projections and % of Usage

















Player Views with the Average of PPR Point Projection along with Scaled to the Position Average Points (Scaled PP)











Team, Positional and Player Views. Begin to imagine injury scenarios as well with this data.  


































Saturday, May 20, 2017

PPR Scoring Based___ New Data Landscape View of Player Risk by Position and Rankings.

I was thinking of other ways to show my player risk profiles vs HIGH MED or LOW.

The following graphs are based on current PPR Based Scoring Player Rankings
(High to Low - Left to Right) along with the Current Risk Range of that Player.


The tighter the range the less volatility expected at that Ranking. 

The larger the range the more volatility expected at that Player's Ranking. 

























Tuesday, May 16, 2017

Current Non-PPR Player Rankings, ADP Draft Patterns and Risk Analysis

Current Non-PPR Player Rankings, ADP Draft Patterns and Risk Analysis

Here are visual figures the represent the current landscape for Non-PPR Redrafts. 

If where you are getting your rankings is not giving you this level of data, why are you using them? 

Working on my Textbook. It will have insane amounts of original FF research, not just tired old names and numbers! Just Saying! 

Hopefully in 2 weeks the 2017 edition on amazon! 

I will update June, July and Finally Mid August etc as well. 

Draft Patterns by Round











Numerical Landscape of Non-PPR drafts

Colors mark the next level of position 

(For Example, the WR1 to WR 2 transition is occurring in round 3)


 

Round by Round Landscape by Position. Where are the players being drafted compared to others?






















Team Level Landscape Analysis. Where are the players being drafted on each team?



































My Early Rankings with Risk Analysis By Position 

 

(Rankings)

(Green High, Yellow Mid and Red Weak) 

vs 

High, Mid and Low Risk Levels.

For example in the DST ARI is highly ranked at 84/100 but that ranking is considered at high risk for volatility.  DEN is ranked 100 (best and is at low risk). I am more confident on Den vs Ari's DST! 





















Rankings and Risk by Team Landscape View
































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